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Sunday, December 13, 2015

First Time Cruz Is In the Lead

New Fox News Poll Confirms Cruz Beating Trump in Iowa

Image: New Fox News Poll Confirms Cruz Beating Trump in Iowa 
By Greg Richter   |   Sunday, 13 Dec 2015 09:44 AM
A Fox News poll released Sunday shows Texas Sen. Ted Cruz leading the GOP presidential field in Iowa, which holds the nation's first voting in its caucuses on February 1.

Cruz holds a narrow 2-point lead over national front-runner Donald Trump, though his lead jumps to 7 points among those saying they are likely to vote. The 2-point lead falls within the poll's margin of error.

All Iowa Republican voters:
  • Cruz: 28 percent
  • Donald Trump: 26 percent
  • Marco Rubio: 13 percent
  • Ben Carson: 10 percent
  • Jeb Bush: 5 percent
  • Rand Paul: 5 percent
  • Chris Christie: 2 percent
  • Carly Fiorina: 2 percent
  • Mike Huckabee: 1 percent
  • John Kasich: 1 percent
  • George Pataki: 1 percent
  • Lindsey Graham: Less than 1 percent
  • Rick Santorum: Less than 1 percent
  • Jim Gilmore: 0 percent
The poll was conducted December 7-10 and has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.5 percentage points.
Among Republicans who will definitely vote in the Iowa caucuses:
  • Cruz: 32 percent
  • Trump: 25 percent
  • Carson: 12 percent
  • Rubio: 12 percent
That part of the poll has a margin of error of plus-or-mus 6.5 percentage points.
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While the margin is considerably smaller than a Bloomberg Politics/Des Moines Register Iowa Poll released on Saturday, it confirms Cruz's surge to become the latest front-runner in the campaign for the Iowa caucuses.

In that poll, Cruz is backed by 31 percent of those likely to attend the Republican caucuses that start the presidential nomination season on Feb. 1. Trump is a distant second at 21 percent, up slightly from 19 percent in October, but below his peak of 23 percent in August.

Still, Trump is seen by Iowa Republicans as the candidate most likely to beat expected Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton in November.
  • Trump: 32 percent
  • Cruz: 18 percent
  • Rubio: 14 percent
  • Carson: 6 percent
This portion of the poll also has a margin of error of plus-or-minus 4.5 percentage points.

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